Tuesday, 20 May 2014

THE SHOCK LETTER REPORT ON EZEKIEL'S FIRE AND THE ECONOMIC CONFIDENCE MODEL.

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Ezekiel’s Fire and the ECM

When I got into the investment business back in the ’90s, I quickly realized that it was all about psychology. There was very little ‘thinking’ happening in the ‘markets’. It was all greed and fear mixed in with just a hint of sanity. And, it had everything to do with the ‘thundering herd’.
When I figured all that out, I told everyone who wanted to know (and many who didn’t) that the best educational background for an investment professional was a degree in mass psychology. I still say that, and I’ve found someone who talks along the same lines and has an impressive track record in predicting what’s happening in the world of finance and economics.
(By the way, sorry for no Weekend Shockcast. I’ve been down-for-the-count with a nasty bacterial infection. In a few days, I should be back to normal – whatever that is. - JL)
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Ezekiel’s Fire and the ECM

Ezekiel’s Fire is coming. I wish that it wasn’t, and I’ve fought against the idea for a long time. But, God has decreed for it to be so, and therefore…
…it shall be so.
The next question is when it will happen.
Let’s Talk About Gog
Ezekiel’s Fire is connected to the coming of Gog and Magog. That happens in Ezekiel 38 and 39. And, the specific reference to Ezekiel’s Fire is in Ezekiel 39:6.
God speaks of setting ‘hooks in the jaws’ of Gog, to convince this person or entity to send a vast army to attack Israel. So, we know from this statement that there will be a set of circumstances that will make Israel an irresistible target.
What would make Israel such a target?
An Irresistible Israel
Here is what would make an attack on Israel ‘irresistible’ to the Russians:
If…
  • Israel threatened Russia’s natural gas monopoly in Europe
  • There were resources to steal and an opportunity to gain power in the Middle East
  • Israel were an easy target – i.e., defenseless.
…then Russia would certainly attack.
I’ve talked about that first one. And yes, Israel’s natural gas fields are a huge threat to Russia’s dominance in Europe. Russia would love to stop it, but doesn’t have the power to do that – right now.
The second point follows on from the first. Natural gas is THE resource to steal, and Russia has ALWAYS wanted hegemony in the Middle East. But, Israel has always acted as a block to that hegemony, and Europe and the US have helped reinforce Israel’s power. But, if that reinforcement is taken away…
Then, Israel would quickly become defenseless, and THAT is the last remaining ‘hook’ in the ‘jaws of Gog’.
Israel Defenseless
Right now, Israel is far from defenseless. Even though the US State Department hates Israel with a passion, Israel has become a vital part of US foreign policy. Without Israel, America would be in a lot of trouble. And, the Nazis running the show in Washington D.C. hate the fact that they are forced to kowtow to the Jewish state.
However, American foreign policy is based on American military power, and American military power is based on the American economy. And, that economy is really shaky and headed for a gigantic collapse.
Collapse of America
When that collapse happens, America’s military power will collapse with it. America will be unable to protect Saudi Arabia, which means that the petrodollar parasites of the Persian Gulf will dump the US dollar and seek a different host.
Worse, far worse, America will be unable to help Israel pay for her high tech military – assuming that the venomous US State Department hadn’t already succeeded in destroying Israel’s ability to defend itself.
So… it all comes down to money.
When will America’s financial system collapse?
Martin Armstrong And The ECM
Well, once I figured out all of the above, I started looking for an answer to that question, and I might have found it in a person named Martin Armstrong. Martin Armstrong is the creator of the Economic Confidence Model, which describes an 8.6 year economic cycle.
That Economic Confidence Model (ECM) has been amazingly accurate, and accuracy is what we are looking for. Furthermore, it models EXACTLY what I’ve been telling everyone – mass psychology.
(I’m sorry. You were drinking something when you read that, and now you have to clean your computer screen and replace your keyboard.)
An 8.6 year cycle for predicting monetary mass meltdown? Really?
Actually… yes.
Before sitting down to write this, I read an article by Martin Armstrong called The Business Cycle And the Future, that he wrote in 1999. That article contained a graph that he created in 1997:
Graph of ECM from 1997
Graph of ECM from 1997
Take a good hard look at that graph.
Did you notice that it describes the Early 2000s Recession AND the Financial Crisis of 2007-2008 AND the Great Recession?
What an amazing bit of prediction.
Is it perfect?
I don’t know – probably not. But, it’s the best predictive model that I’ve seen so far. Furthermore, it explains why our own economy hasn’t completely collapsed – yet. And, the good news is that it probably won’t collapse until 2015.
Correlation With Ezekiel 38 and 39
Using the Economic Confidence Model, we can predict that a recession will begin in the US in late 2015 and bottom out in late 2016. This will be followed by a year of recovery that will last until the end of 2017. From the beginning of 2018, the US economy will be in complete free fall, until it hits bottom at the beginning of 2020.
Isn’t it an interesting coincidence how the ECM correlates with our Summer of 2016 or Summer of 2018 timeline for Gog and Magog?
Yeah. I don’t believe in coincidences, either.

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